Pediatric disaster preparedness curriculum across emergency medicine residencies.

OBJECTIVE: To assess pediatric disaster medicine (PDM) instruction in emergency medicine (EM) residency programs and to identify barriers to integrating these skills into EM training. METHODS: National survey study of United States EM Residency Program Directors (PDs) and Assistant PDs during the 2021-2022 academic year. RESULTS: Of the 186 EM residency programs identified, a total of 24 responses were recorded with a response rate of 12.9 percent. Importance of training was rated 5.79 (standard deviation 2.51) using the Likert scale ranging from 1 to 10. Out of 24 programs, 17 (70.8 percent) do not have any PDM training as part of residency training. Live drill, simulation, and tabletop were identified as most effective methods to deliver PDM training with the Likert scale score of 4.78, 4.6, and 4.47, respectively. Senior trainees' level of -knowledge/skills with family reunification (Likert 2.09/5; chemical-biological-radiological-nuclear explosive 2.95/5) and mass casualty preparation of the emergency department (3.3/5) as assessed by the respondents. The main barrier to education included logistics, eg, space and costs (Likert 3.7/5), lack of didactic time (3.7/5), and limited faculty knowledge, skill, or experience (3.3/5). CONCLUSION: PDM training is lacking and requires standardization. This study highlights the opportunity for the creation of a model for EM resident education in PDM.

Analysis of Anonymous Student Narratives About Experiences with Emergency Medicine Residency Programs.

Background: Academic emergency medicine (EM) communities have viewed anonymous online communities (AOC) such as Reddit or specialty-specific "applicant spreadsheets" as poor advising resources. Despite this, robust EM AOCs exist, with large user bases and heavy readership. Insights about applicants' authentic experiences can be critical for applicants and program leadership decision-making. To date, there are no EM studies to qualitatively assess EM AOC narratives during the application cycle. Our goal was to perform a qualitative analysis of students' EM program experiences through a publicly available AOC. Methods: This was a qualitative analysis of a publicly available, time-stamped, user-locked AOC dataset: "Official 2020-2021 Emergency Medicine Applicant Spreadsheet." We extracted and then de-identified all data from selected sub-sheets entitled "Virtual Interview Impressions" and "Rotation Impressions." Four investigators used constant comparative method to analyze the data inductively, and they subsequently met to generate common themes discussed by students. Preliminary thematic analysis was conducted on a random sample of 37/183 (20%) independent narratives to create the initial codebook. This was used and updated iteratively to analyze the entire narrative set consisting of 841 discrete statements. Finally, two unique codes were created to distinguish whether the identified sub-themes, or program attributes, were likely "modifiable" or "non-modifiable." Results: We identified six major themes: living and working conditions; interpersonal relationships; learning experiences, postgraduate readiness, and online/virtual supplements. Common sub-themes included patient population (13%); resident personality (7%); program leadership personality (7%); relationship with faculty/leadership (6%); geography (4%); practice setting (4%); program reputation (4%), and postgraduate year-3 experiences (4%). Modifiable sub-themes outnumbered non-modifiable sub-themes, 60.7% to 39.3%. Conclusion: In this analysis of selected medical students' narratives in an AOC, the majority of identified themes represented topics that may serve as external feedback for EM residency programs and their clerkships. Selective use of AOCs may set a precedent for future program assessments by applicants and inform program leadership of important programmatic elements in the eyes of applicants. It elucidates important themes in their interactions or learning experiences with programs and creates opportunities for learner-centric program improvement.

Simulation Improves Emergency Medicine Residents' Clinical Performance of Aorta Point-of-Care Ultrasound.

Purpose: Using point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) to diagnose abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is an essential skill in emergency medicine (EM). While simulation-based POCUS education is commonly used, the translation to performance in the emergency department (ED) is unknown. We investigated whether adding case-based simulation to an EM residency curriculum was associated with changes in the quantity and quality of aorta POCUS performed by residents in the ED. Methods: A case-based simulation was introduced to resident didactics at our academic, Level I trauma center. A case of undifferentiated abdominal pain was presented, which required examination of an ultrasound phantom to diagnose an AAA, with a hands-on didactic. We compared the quantity, quality, and descriptive analyses of aorta POCUS performed in the ED during the four months before and after the simulation. Results: For participating residents (17/32), there was an 86% increase in total studies and an 80% increase in clinical studies. On an opportunity-adjusted, per-resident basis, there was no significant difference in median total scans per 100 shifts (4.4 [interquartile range (IQR) 0-15.8 vs 8.3 [IQR] 3.3-23.6, P = 0.21) or average total quality scores (3.2 ± 0.6 vs 3.2 ± 0.5, P = 0.92). The total number of limited or inadequate studies decreased (43% vs 19%, P = 0.02), and the proportion of scans submitted by interns increased (7% vs 54%, P = < .001). Conclusion: After simulation training, aorta POCUS was performed more frequently, and ED interns contributed a higher proportion of scans. While there was no improvement in quantity or quality scores on a per-resident basis, there were significantly fewer incomplete or limited scans.

Integrating Hospice and Palliative Medicine Education Within the American Board of Emergency Medicine Model.

Background: Hospice and palliative medicine (HPM) is a board-certified subspecialty within emergency medicine (EM), but prior studies have shown that EM residents do not receive sufficient training in HPM. Experts in HPM-EM created a consensus list of competencies for HPM training in EM residency. We evaluated how the HPM competencies integrate within the American Board of Emergency Medicine Milestones, which include the Model of the Clinical Practice of Emergency Medicine (EM Model) and the knowledge, skills, and abilities (KSA) list. Methods: Three emergency physicians independently mapped the HPM-EM competencies onto the 2019 EM Model items and the 2021 KSAs. Discrepancies were resolved by a fourth independent reviewer, and the final mapping was reviewed by all team members. Results: The EM Model included 78% (18/23) of the HPM competencies as a direct match, and we identified recommended areas for incorporating the other five. The KSAs included 43% (10/23). Most HPM competencies included in the KSAs mapped onto at least one level B (minimal necessary for competency) KSA. Three HPM competencies were not clearly included in the EM Model or in the KSAs (treating end-of-life symptoms, caring for the imminently dying, and caring for patients under hospice care). Conclusion: The majority of HPM-EM competencies are included in the current EM Model and KSAs and correspond to knowledge needed to be competent in EM. Programs relying on the EM Milestones to plan their curriculums may miss training in symptom management and care for patients at the end of life or who are on hospice.

Foundations of Emergency Medicine: Impact of a Standardized, Open-access, Core Content Curriculum on In-Training Exam Scores.

Introduction: Learners frequently benefit from modalities such as small-group, case-based teaching and interactive didactic experiences rather than passive learning methods. These contemporary techniques are features of Foundations of Emergency Medicine (FoEM) curricula, and particularly the Foundations I (F1) course, which targets first-year resident (PGY-1) learners. The American Board of Emergency Medicine administers the in-training exam (ITE) that provides an annual assessment of EM-specific medical knowledge. We sought to assess the effect of F1 implementation on ITE scores. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed data from interns at four EM residency programs accredited by the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education. We collected data in 2021. Participating sites were geographically diverse and included three- and four-year training formats. We collected data from interns two years before (control group) and two years after (intervention group) implementation of F1 at each site. Year of F1 implementation ranged from 2015-2018 at participating sites. We abstracted data using a standard form including program, ITE raw score, year of ITE administration, US Medical Licensing Exam Step 1 score, Step 2 Clinical Knowledge (CK) score, and gender. We performed univariable and multivariable linear regression to explore differences between intervention and control groups. Results: We collected data for 180 PGY-1s. Step 1 and Step 2 CK scores were significant predictors of ITE in univariable analyses (both with P < 0.001). After accounting for Step 1 and Step 2 CK scores, we did not find F1 implementation to be a significant predictor of ITE score, P = 0.83. Conclusion: Implementation of F1 curricula did not show significant changes in performance on the ITE after controlling for important variables.

The Effect of a Simulation-based Intervention on Emergency Medicine Resident Management of Early Pregnancy Loss.

Background: The evaluation of patients with first-trimester vaginal bleeding and concern for early pregnancy loss (EPL) frequently occurs in the emergency department (ED), accounting for approximately 1.6% of all ED visits.1 Unfortunately, these patients consistently report negative experiences with ED care.2-8 In addition to environmental concerns, such as long wait times, patients often describe negative interactions with staff, including a perceived lack of empathy, the use of insensitive language, and inadequate counseling.2,3 These patients and their partners often view EPL as a traumatic loss of life and commonly experience prolonged grief reactions, including anxiety and depression.9-11 Poor satisfaction with care has been associated with worse mental health outcomes.12 These complaints represent an important opportunity for improvement in emergency medicine (EM) training.13 While no published literature to date describes the performance of EM residents in managing patients presenting with EPL, studies suggest that even obstetrics and gynecology (OB/GYN) residents find these interactions challenging.14,15 Simulation- and didactic-based training has been shown to be beneficial in improving OB/GYN resident EPL counseling and has been associated with improved patient outcomes.16 To our knowledge, this has yet to be replicated in EM residency training. Objectives: We aimed to develop and evaluate a simulation-based educational intervention to improve EM resident management of patients presenting with EPL.

Current progress in international pediatric emergency medicine.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Over the past four decades, pediatric emergency Medicine (PEM) has witnessed significant global development, with a notable increase in training programs and official recognition by regulatory bodies. However, disparities persist in the recognition of PEM as an independent subspecialty, availability of training programs on a global scale, academic recognition, and the ability to provide high-quality care to children worldwide. There is paucity of published literature regarding development of PEM globally. This review explores the current trends and challenges in international pediatric emergency medicine. RECENT FINDINGS: Current trends in international pediatric emergency medicine encompass the provision of training in pediatric-focused emergency and acute care, increased propagation of evidence-based guidelines specific to the care of children, the growth of collaborative research networks and interest groups within national and international societies. Simultaneously, the field continues to face challenges such as the lack of recognition, inequities in access, and a lack of dissemination of global PEM initiatives. SUMMARY: While recent advancements have significantly enhanced the state of international pediatric emergency medicine, including pediatric specific research networks and training programs, barriers still hinder its overall quality. Many of these obstacles are not unique to pediatric emergency medicine but are directly affected by financial disparities and lack of governmental and public recognition of the essential role of pediatric emergency care.

Components of an Updated Disaster Medicine Curriculum Included in Emergency Medicine Residency and Emergency Medical Services Fellowship in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: Disaster medicine (DM) is a unique field that has undergone significant development as disaster events become increasingly complicated to respond to. However, DM is not recognized by the American Board of Medical Specialties (ABMS) or Accreditation Committee of Graduate Medical Education (ACGME), and therefore lacks board certification. Furthermore, prior studies have shown that there is unique body of DM knowledge not being addressed in emergency medicine (EM) residency or Emergency Medical Services (EMS) fellowship, resulting in fundamental DM topics not being covered amongst graduate medical education (GME) programs most prepared to produce DM physicians. A recently published DM core curriculum addresses this knowledge gap and seeks to promote standardization of DM training. STUDY OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to analyze EM residency and EMS fellowship curricula for the inclusion of DM major curriculum topics and subtopics, using the most recently published DM core curriculum as a control. METHODS: Both EM residency and EMS fellowship curricula were analyzed for inclusion of DM curriculum topics and subtopics, using the DM curriculum recommendations published by Wexler, et al as a control. A major curriculum topic was deemed covered if at least one related subtopic was described in the curricula. The included and excluded DM topics and subtopics were analyzed using descriptive statistics. RESULTS: While all the DM major curriculum topics were covered by either EM residency or EMS fellowship, EMS fellowship covered more major curriculum topics (14/15; 93%) than EM residency (12/15; 80%) and EMS fellowship covered more DM curriculum subtopics (58/153; 38%) than EM residency (24/153; 16%). Combined, EM residency and EMS fellowship covered 65 out of 153 (42%) of the DM curriculum subtopics. CONCLUSION: Although this study finds that all the DM major curriculum topics will be covered in EM residency followed by EMS fellowship, over one-half of the subtopics are not covered by either program (16% and 38%, respectively) or both programs combined (42%). Increasingly relevant subtopics, such as climate change, droughts, and flooding, are amongst those not covered by either curriculum. Even amongst the DM topics included in GME curricula, an emphasis on themes such as mass treatment, preparedness, and mitigation is likely under-represented. Accreditation from ACGME for DM fellowship would further promote uniform implementation of the updated core curriculum and ensure optimal training of disaster-ready physicians.

Comparison of the problem-solving performance of ChatGPT-3.5, ChatGPT-4, Bing Chat, and Bard for the Korean emergency medicine board examination question bank.

Large language models (LLMs) have been deployed in diverse fields, and the potential for their application in medicine has been explored through numerous studies. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the performance of ChatGPT-3.5, ChatGPT-4, Bing Chat, and Bard for the Emergency Medicine Board Examination question bank in the Korean language. Of the 2353 questions in the question bank, 150 questions were randomly selected, and 27 containing figures were excluded. Questions that required abilities such as analysis, creative thinking, evaluation, and synthesis were classified as higher-order questions, and those that required only recall, memory, and factual information in response were classified as lower-order questions. The answers and explanations obtained by inputting the 123 questions into the LLMs were analyzed and compared. ChatGPT-4 (75.6%) and Bing Chat (70.7%) showed higher correct response rates than ChatGPT-3.5 (56.9%) and Bard (51.2%). ChatGPT-4 showed the highest correct response rate for the higher-order questions at 76.5%, and Bard and Bing Chat showed the highest rate for the lower-order questions at 71.4%. The appropriateness of the explanation for the answer was significantly higher for ChatGPT-4 and Bing Chat than for ChatGPT-3.5 and Bard (75.6%, 68.3%, 52.8%, and 50.4%, respectively). ChatGPT-4 and Bing Chat outperformed ChatGPT-3.5 and Bard in answering a random selection of Emergency Medicine Board Examination questions in the Korean language.

Early Emergency Medicine Milestone Assessment for Predicting First-Year Resident Performance.

Introduction: The Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) requires emergency medicine (EM) residency training programs to monitor residents' progress using standardized milestones. The first assessment of PGY 1 resident milestones occurs midway through the first year and could miss initial deficiencies. Early assessment of PGY 1 EM resident milestones has potential to identify at-risk residents prior to standard midyear evaluations. We developed an orientation syllabus for PGY 1 residents followed by a milestone assessment. Assessment scores helped predict future milestone scores and American Board of Emergency Medicine (ABEM) In-Training Examination (ITE) scores for PGY 1 residents. Methods: From 2013 to 2020, we developed and implemented Milestone Evaluation Day (MED), a simulation-based day and written exam assessing PGY 1 EM residents during their first month on the 23 ACGME 1.0 milestones. MED stations included a history and physical with verbal presentation, patient simulation, vascular access, wound management, and airway management. MED, Clinical Competency Committee-generated (CCC-generated) milestone, and ABEM ITE scores were averaged and compared utilizing Pearson's correlation coefficient. Results: Of 112 PGY 1 EM residents, 110 (98%) were analyzed over an 8-year period. We observed a moderate positive correlation of MED and CCC-generated milestone scores (r = .34, p < .001). There was a nonstatistically significant weak positive correlation of MED and ABEM ITE scores (r = .13, p = .17). Discussion: An early assessment of EM milestones in the PGY 1 year can assist in the prediction of CCC-generated milestone scores for PGY 1 residents.

Serious illness communication skills training for emergency physicians and advanced practice providers: a multi-method assessment of the reach and effectiveness of the intervention.

BACKGROUND: EM Talk is a communication skills training program designed to improve emergency providers' serious illness conversational skills. Using the Reach, Effectiveness, Adoption, Implementation, and Maintenance (RE-AIM) framework, this study aims to assess the reach of EM Talk and its effectiveness. METHODS: EM Talk consisted of one 4-h training session during which professional actors used role-plays and active learning to train providers to deliver serious/bad news, express empathy, explore patients' goals, and formulate care plans. After the training, emergency providers filled out an optional post-intervention survey, which included course reflections. Using a multi-method analytical approach, we analyzed the reach of the intervention quantitatively and the effectiveness of the intervention qualitatively using conceptual content analysis of open-ended responses. RESULTS: A total of 879 out of 1,029 (85%) EM providers across 33 emergency departments completed the EM Talk training, with the training rate ranging from 63 to 100%. From the 326 reflections, we identified meaning units across the thematic domains of improved knowledge, attitude, and practice. The main subthemes across the three domains were the acquisition of Serious Illness (SI) communication skills, improved attitude toward engaging qualifying patients in SI conversations, and commitment to using these learned skills in clinical practice. CONCLUSION: Our study showed the extensive reach and the effectiveness of the EM Talk training in improving SI conversation. EM Talk, therefore, can potentially improve emergency providers' knowledge, attitude, and practice of SI communication skills. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT03424109; Registered on January 30, 2018.

"I don't want to be the squeaky wheel": Addressing bias as a leader in emergency medicine.

BACKGROUND: Implicit bias poses a barrier to inclusivity in the health care workforce and is detrimental to patient care. While previous studies have investigated knowledge and training gaps related to implicit bias, emergency medicine (EM) leaders' self-awareness and perspectives on bias have not been studied. Using art to prompt reflections on implicit bias, this qualitative study explores (1) the attitudes of leaders in EM toward implicit bias and (2) individual or structural barriers to navigating and addressing bias in the workplace. METHODS: Investigators facilitated an hour-long workshop in May 2022 for those with leadership positions in the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine (SAEM), a leading national EM organization, including 62 attending physicians, eight residents/fellows, and four medical students. The workshop utilized arts-based methods to generate a psychologically supportive space to lead conversations around implicit bias in EM. The session included time for individual reflection, where participants used an electronic platform to respond anonymously to questions regarding susceptibility, fears, barriers, and experiences surrounding bias. Two independent coders compiled, coded, and reviewed the responses using an exploratory constructivist approach. RESULTS: A total of 125 responses were analyzed. Four major themes emerged: (1) acceptance that bias exists; (2) individual barriers, including fear of negative reactions, often due to power dynamics between respondents and other members of the ED; (3) institutional barriers, such as insufficient funding and unprotected time committed to addressing bias; and (4) ambiguity about defining and prioritizing bias. CONCLUSIONS: This qualitative analysis of reflections from an arts-based workshop highlights perceived fears and barriers that may impact EM physicians' motivation and comfort in addressing bias. These results may help guide interventions to address individual and structural barriers to mitigating bias in the workplace.

Comparison of in-person versus virtual ultrasound instruction for pediatric residents.

PURPOSE: Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) instruction is prevalent in medical schools but not in pediatric residency programs, even though the majority of pediatric residents desire POCUS instruction. Virtual ultrasound instruction with affordable handheld ultrasound devices may help remedy this deficiency by allowing qualified instructors to circumvent geographic and financial limitations to reach this population. This study sought to determine if virtual ultrasound instruction is an effective alternative to traditional in-person instruction in a cohort of pediatric residents for the extended Focused Assessment with Sonography in Trauma (eFAST) exam. METHODS: Pediatric residents were randomized to receive either in-person or virtual instruction to learn the eFAST exam using a Sonosite Edge (Sonosite, Inc., Bothell, WA) or Butterfly iQ (Butterfly Network, Inc., Guilford, CT), respectively. After the instructional session, the participants completed a timed assessment in which all required images for the eFAST exam were obtained on the same anatomic model. The content and quality of the images were then scored by expert faculty. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in assessment scores (65.8% and 61.8%, p = 0.349) and assessment duration (482.6 s and 432.6 s, p = 0.346) between pediatric residents who received in-person instruction and those who received virtual instruction. CONCLUSION: Virtual ultrasound instruction appears to be an effective alternative to traditional in-person instruction.

Pediatric Emergency Medicine Didactics and Simulation (PEMDAS): Pediatric Sedation Complications.

Introduction: Ketamine and propofol are commonly used agents for sedation in the pediatric emergency department (PED). While these medications routinely provide safe sedations, there are side effects providers should be able to recognize and manage. Currently, no pediatric sedation simulations exist in the literature. Methods: We created two sedation simulation cases for learners, including pediatric emergency medicine (PEM) fellows, working in the PED: case 1, a 12-year-old male with a shoulder dislocation requiring reduction under propofol sedation, and case 2, a forearm fracture requiring reduction under ketamine sedation. Learner actions included setting up equipment for sedations, dosing medications correctly, and managing complications. Additionally, in case 2, learners assigned an American Society of Anesthesiologists classification and selected the appropriate candidate for PED sedation from amongst three patients. A debrief followed the cases. Next, a didactic presentation reinforced concepts discussed in the debrief. Participants then completed an evaluation of the simulation. Results: Fifty-eight emergency medicine residents and PEM fellows across four sites at three institutions participated. Participants scored the simulations and the debriefing session on a 5-point Likert scale. Learners rated the scenario as clinically relevant (M = 4.37) and effective at improving their comfort level in caring for critically ill patients (M = 4.36). Learners felt the debrief provided valuable learning (M = 4.40) and was a safe learning environment (M = 4.50). Discussion: These cases can be utilized as resources for learners in any emergency department and can be tailored to any training background of learner providing sedation.

Pediatric Polytrauma Fire Victim Simulation.

Introduction: Pediatric trauma has long been one of the primary contributors to pediatric mortality. There are multiple cases in the literature involving cyanide (CN) toxicity, carbon monoxide (CO) toxicity, and smoke inhalation with thermal injury, but none in combination with mechanical trauma. Methods: In this 45-minute simulation case, emergency medicine residents and fellows were asked to manage a pediatric patient with multiple life-threatening traumatic and metabolic concerns after being extracted from a van accident with a resulting fire. Providers were expected to identify and manage the patient's airway, burns, hemoperitoneum, and CO and CN toxicities. Results: Forty learners participated in this simulation, the majority of whom had little prior clinical experience managing the concepts highlighted in it. All agreed or strongly agreed that the case was relevant to their work. After participation, learner confidence in the ability to manage each of the learning objectives was high. One hundred percent of learners felt confident or very confident in managing CO toxicity and completing primary and secondary surveys, while 97% were similarly confident in identifying smoke inhalation injury, preparing for a difficult airway, and managing CN toxicity. Discussion: This case was a well-received teaching tool for the management of pediatric trauma and metabolic derangements related to fire injuries. While this specific case represents a rare clinical experience, it is within the scope of expected knowledge for emergency medicine providers and offers the opportunity to practice managing multisystem trauma.

Differences in Emergency Medicine Resident Procedural Reporting by Gender in the United States.

Background Studies across specialties have demonstrated gender disparities in feedback, learner assessments, and operative cases. However, data are limited on differences in numbers of procedures among residents. Objective To quantify the association between gender and the number of procedures reported among emergency medicine (EM) residents. Methods We conducted a retrospective review of procedural differences by self-identified gender among graduating EM residents at 8 separate programs over a 10-year period (2013 to 2022). Sites were selected to ensure diversity of program length, program type, and geography. Residents from combined training programs, those who did not complete their full training at that institution, and those who did not have data available were excluded. We calculated the mean, SD, median, and IQR for each procedure by gender. We compared reported procedures by gender using linear regression, controlling for institution, and performed a sensitivity analysis excluding outlier residents with procedure totals >3 SD from the mean. Results We collected data from 914 residents, with 880 (96.3%) meeting inclusion criteria. There were 358 (40.7%) women and 522 (59.3%) men. The most common procedures were point-of-care ultrasound, adult medical resuscitation, adult trauma resuscitation, and intubations. After adjusting for institutions, the number of dislocation reductions, chest tube insertions, and sedations were higher for men. The sensitivity analysis findings were stable except for central lines, which were also more common in men. Conclusions In a national sample of EM programs, there were increased numbers of dislocation reductions, chest tube insertions, and sedations reported by men compared with women.

Measuring and Predicting Faculty Consensus Rankings of Standardized Letters of Evaluation.

Background Standardized letters of evaluation (SLOE) are becoming more widely incorporated into the residency application process to make the letter of recommendation, an already critical component in a residency application packet, more objective. However, it is not currently known if the reviewers of these letters share consensus regarding the strength of an applicant determined by their SLOE. Objective We measured the level of faculty agreement regarding applicant competitiveness as determined by SLOEs and the ability of 2 algorithms to predict faculty consensus rankings. Methods Using data from the 2021-2022 Match cycle from the Council of Residency Directors in Emergency Medicine SLOE Database as a blueprint, authors created 50 fictional SLOEs representative of the national data. Seven faculty then rated these SLOEs in order of applicant competitiveness, defined as suggested rank position. Consensus was evaluated using cutoffs established a priori, and 2 prediction models, a point-based system and a linear regression model, were tested to determine their ability to predict consensus rankings. Results There was strong faculty consensus regarding the interpretation of SLOEs. Within narrow windows of agreement, faculty demonstrated similar ranking patterns with 83% and 93% agreement for "close" and "loose" agreement, respectively. Predictive models yielded a strong correlation with the consensus ranking (point-based system r=0.97, linear regression r=0.97). Conclusions Faculty displayed strong consensus regarding the competitiveness of applicants via SLOEs, adding further support to the use of SLOEs for selection and advising. Two models predicted consensus competitiveness rankings with a high degree of accuracy.